A plain explanation of what happens before a pick reaches the board, and what happens to it after — nothing here is hidden behind a login.
Every line from the sportsbooks OddsShift tracks, pulled in continuously through the day for every sport currently in season.
Pinnacle carries the lowest hold and the sharpest action in the market. OddsShift strips the vig from its line to get a fair, no-vig probability — the number every pick is actually measured against.
A statistical model prices every side against that sharp reference, sport by sport — team form, matchup context and recent performance where a full model exists, always priced against the sharpest line available.
Only picks that clear a validated bar go out. Every market is backtested walk-forward on real historical results and real historical prices before it's allowed to ship — a market that doesn't hold up is never turned on.
Once a game ends, the result is pulled from the official box score and graded automatically the same day. No person decides what counts as a win — the same script grades a loss and a win identically.
The exact three states every graded pick can land in — no fourth, softer category.
Every graded pick stays up permanently. Results, Record and Track are read straight off the same table the model publishes to — there is no second, cleaner version shown to the public.
Free to browse — Sharp unlocks every leg and full reasoning.